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Rivals have accused SpaceX of overpromising Starlink’s capabilities to get almost $1 billion in authorities subsidies from the FCC, cash that was part of a program that has also been controversial. In your half, you can then create many unbiased rescue simulations of yourself up to August 2010 (or another date), who then get rescued and sent to an optimized utopia. An "incentive to get individuals to donate more to reducing existential threat". You cannot contribute 0.00002% of the effort to colonize space or mitigate existential dangers and reap 0.00001% of the reward: you get 0 and even damaging reward if your contribution is below some threshold. On this vein, there is the ominous risk that if a optimistic singularity does occur, the resultant singleton might have precommitted to punish all potential donors who knew about existential dangers but who did not give 100% of their disposable incomes to x-threat motivation. And even if you happen to solely think that the likelihood of this taking place is 1%, be aware that the likelihood of a CEV doing this to a random person who would casually brush off talk of existential dangers as "nonsense" is actually zero.
When you traditionally played a quantum lottery that undoubtedly paid off in some branches of the wavefunction, then the uFAI will assign some likelihood to being in a simulation run by you, if that's what you pre-dedicated to doing (and should you actually follow by means of in your precommitment: the uFAI can take a look at this by simulating you). I'd dismiss this principally as a result of we cannot be expected to model the CEV almost properly enough to anticipate this to be true, or even to assign it more than a negligible chance. One may assume that the possibility of CEV punishing people couldn't possibly be taken severely enough by anybody to truly encourage them. Even if we had sufficient data to justifiably imagine this to be a critical possibility, what on earth would be the point of torturing people who acknowledge that risk and thus decide to offer more? Possibly I am lacking the purpose. Agreed that one's distribution over CEV outcomes must be very https://www.playapalms.com/2024/09/27/ymdgy5ikpzi large, and i want to point out that one's distribution over CEV utilities must be correspondingly extensive.
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